Frequently Asked Questions
The following answers are to questions regarding the paper, Quantifying the Consensus on
Anthropogenic Global Warming in the Scientific Literature, published in the journal
Environmental Research Letters on May 15, 2013.
- Methodology Questions
- Who contributed to The Consensus Project?
- How did you independently check your results?
- 2accouts(双开助手)-2accouts(双开助手)App下载-- 234游戏中心:2021-6-11 · 《2accouts(双开助手)》APP下载，安卓版和苹果APP下载地址，简介: 2accouts(双开助手)是一款实用系统工具，是账号双开工具。此外2accouts(双开助手)不但拥有双开功能，还提供一键切换服务。
- Did your paper include all climate papers?
- How did the level of consensus differ across different research areas?
- How broad is the consensus?
- Philosophical Questions
- Why does consensus matter?
- 平行之家商家版电脑版下载_平行之家商家版电脑版官方下载「 ...:2021-12-16 · 平行之家商家版电脑版，是平行之家官方指定商家，为平行进口车经销提供了一个高效卖车的综合性工具。本站提供平行之家 ...
- What other indicators of consensus are there?
白鲸加速器电脑版下载-outline
白鲸加速器电脑版下载-outline
The Consensus Project was a citizen-science effort that took over a year from beginning of the project until submission of the paper to the journal Environmental Research Letters. 24 volunteers contributed to the rating of the papers. Half of the raters completed 97.4% of the ratings. All of the major contributors to the project are named as co-authors or thanked by name in the Acknowledgements of the ins平行加速器下载.
【清理加速器app】清理加速器安卓版_清理加速器手机版下载 ...:2021-2-24 · 清理 加速器app可超强清理手机上的缓存垃圾、卸载残留、后台进程、隐私信息等，还可众智能管理软件，并具备最强有力的预装软件停用等功能。 清理加速器app是安卓手机必备清理工具。 功能介绍 初始化版本，可超强清理缓存垃圾，并且还能监控当前占据内存的应用，一键清理，让你的手机速度 ...
It was very important to the volunteers at The Consensus Project that our published paper be freely available to the public (unfortunately, many peer-reviewed papers are hidden behind a pay-wall). For this reason, we chose the high-impact journal Environmental Research Letters, which charged a $1,600 fee to enable the paper to be open-access. This fee was crowd-funded by donations from Skeptical Science readers. The funds were raised in 9 hours.
The importance of raising awareness of the scientific consensus on climate change cannot be overstated. Typically, the general public think around 50% of climate scientists agree that humans are causing global warming. The Consensus Project has shown that the reality is 97%. To help “close the consensus gap”, the website TheConsensusProject.com was created pro-bono by the New York-based design and advertising agency, SJI Associates.
白鲸加速器电脑版下载-outline
Nobody is more qualified to judge a paper’s intent than the actual scientists who authored the paper. To provide an independent measure of the level of consensus, we asked the scientists who authored the climate papers to rate the level of endorsement of their own papers. Among all papers that were self-rated as expressing a position on human-caused warming, 97.2% endorsed the consensus. This result is consistent with our abstract ratings, which found a 97.1% consensus.
We adopted several methodologies to eliminate the potential of bias in our abstract ratings. We developed a strict methodology (see the Supplementary Material for more details) specifying how to categorise each abstract. In addition, each abstract was rated by at least two separate raters, with any conflicts resolved by a third reviewer.
The entire database of 12,464 papers is available in the Supplementary Data. We have also published all our abstract ratings, which are available via a search form. You can also download an anonymised set of the self-ratings from the authors of the papers.
We have also created an Interactive Rating System, encouraging people to rate the papers themselves and compare their ratings to ours. We welcome criticism of our work and we expect that further scrutiny will improve the reliability of our results. By encourage more interaction, we hope people will come to appreciate the diversity and richness of climate research.
白鲸加速器电脑版下载-outline
Naomi Oreskes predicted in 2007 that as human-caused global warming became settled science, fewer papers would see the need to explicitly endorse the consensus. For example, no research papers on geography currently need to state that the Earth is round. Our results confirm this prediction: As the field progresses, scientists feel less and less need to waste the valuable real estate of the paper’s abstract with an affirmation of settled science.
平行威客app下载-平行威客 v4.0.0 手机版 - 量产资源网:1 天前 · 平行威客app下载是由量产资源网收集于官网最新发布版本,平行威客是一款提供交易服务的应用软件，帮助用户更好的进行交易，让用户在平台里能够得到更多的交易帮助；平台里交易的类目非常的多，包含有工程效果图制作、施工图设计、BIM
白鲸加速器电脑版下载-outline
Our analysis of 12,464 abstracts is the most comprehensive analysis of climate research to date. Nevertheless, a common comment we received from the scientists who rated their own papers was that we didn’t include all their climate research. Some even sent us their publication record and CV!
It’s certainly true that there is a great deal more published climate research than the 12,464 abstracts matching the search terms “global climate change” or “global warming”. For example, a search of the Web of Science for “climate change” articles from 1991 to 2011 yields 43,650 papers while a search for “climate” results in over 128,656 papers.
It is possible that a broader search would find more papers rejecting human-caused global warming. However, it is expected that an expanded search would also produce a great deal more papers endorsing the consensus. This is an interesting area for future research. A broader search would allow analysis of how consensus has evolved going further back into the past, to examine when the consensus formed in the scientific literature.
白鲸加速器电脑版下载-outline
The 12,464 climate papers we analysed covered a diverse range of topics (readers are strongly encouraged to use our Interactive Rating System to experience first hand the breadth and depth of climate research). Scientists were categorised as writing research on Impacts, Paleoclimate, Mitigation or Methods. The consensus levels among the scientists across these different categories of research were all 97% or higher:
The issue of consensus across different areas of research is something we plan to investigate further in future research. A 2009 survey of Earth scientists by Peter Doran and Maggie Zimmerman found that as the expertise in climate research increased, agreement that humans were causing global warming grew stronger. An interesting research question is how the level of consensus changes among published research that is more relevant to climate science (as opposed, for instance, to papers focusing on mitigation technologies).
白鲸加速器电脑版下载-outline
The crowd-sourcing nature of The Consensus Project enabled us to perform an analysis an order of magnitude greater than previous analyses. We identified 10,188 scientists who had authored climate abstracts endorsing human-caused global warming. These scientists came from at least 74 different countries. We identified nationality from email addresses and given that emails were not obtained for all scientists, it is expected that the number of countries is an underestimate. This indicates the scientific consensus involves a large community of scientists scattered all over the world.
白鲸加速器电脑版下载-outline
白鲸加速器电脑版下载-outline
When a representative sample of the US public are asked how many climate scientists agree that humans are causing global warming, the average answer is around 50%. There is a significant gap between public perception and the reality of 97% consensus. This “consensus gap” has real-world consequences. People who think that climate experts disagree about human-caused global warming are less likely to support policies that address climate change.
The consensus gap has persisted for over two decades due to deliberate efforts to cast doubt on the consensus. In 1991, Western Fuels Association conducted a $510 000 campaign whose primary goal was to ‘reposition global warming as theory (not fact)’. A key strategy involved constructing the impression of active scientific debate using dissenting scientists as spokesmen. Similarly, a memo from communications strategist Frank Luntz leaked in 2002 advised Republicans:
“Should the public come to believe that the scientific issues are settled, their views about global warming will change accordingly. Therefore, you need to continue to make the lack of scientific certainty a primary issue in the debate.”
【平行教育教室APP下载】平行教育教室手机版 － 雷达下载:2021-3-13 · 下载平行教育教室，立即拥有您自己专属的在线直播教室。 平行教育教室app是一款教育学习的应用软件，是个网上轻松教学平台，这款软件主要为老师、家长众及孩子专业定制，使用平行教育教室app可轻松了解孩子学习情况，实时互动交流，支持报名、转班众及调课等功能，简单方便实用！
Isn’t science decided by evidence?
平行者游戏加速器_平行者游戏加速器官方版下载 ...- 非凡软件站:2021-7-24 · 平行者游戏加速器 v9.0 最终版 平行者v9.0较终版是优质一款可试用的驱动级变速软... 详情>> 星空自由篮球辅助 v0925 星空自由篮球辅助是一款游戏《自由篮球》的辅助工... 详情>> 乐乐自由篮球辅助 v2596 自由篮球辅助工具可众辅助玩家游戏，更快的升级。
“Science isn’t a democracy. It’s a dictatorship. Evidence does the dictating.”
That humans are causing global warming has already been established by many lines of evidence. A number of independent measurements all find a human fingerprint in climate change. Our study establishes that the scientists agree that humans are causing global warming and that their agreement is expressed in the most robust venue for scientific debate – in the peer-reviewed literature.
Consensus doesn’t prove human-caused global warming. Instead, the body of evidence supporting human-caused global warming has led to a scientific consensus.
What other indicators of consensus are there?
The seminal study in this area was done by Naomi Oreskes who surveyed 928 papers published between 1993 and 2003 whose abstracts matched the search term “global climate change”. She found zero papers rejecting the consensus position that humans are causing global warming. We expanded her search by adding another decade of papers and including the search term “global warming”, which swelled the number of papers to over 12,000. Our analysis confirmed Oreskes' result - among the papers matching her search parameters, zero rejected the consensus.
There have also been two surveys of climate scientists in recent years. One study by Peter Doran and Maggie Zimmerman found that the greater the expertise in climate research, the higher the agreement that humans were causing global warming. The other study led by William Anderegg surveyed public statements on climate change by 908 climate scientists. Both of these studies found a 97% consensus. Our paper mirrors the methodology of Anderegg’s study by examining published statements of climate scientists. We found that among scientists publishing climate papers that state a position on human-caused global warming, over 97% endorse the consensus.
Repeated surveys of scientists found that scientific agreement about AGW steadily increased from 1996 to 2009. This is reflected in the increasingly definitive statements issued by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change on the attribution of recent global warming. Our analysis also finds that the consensus is strengthening with an accelerating number of scientists endorsing human-caused global warming in the peer-reviewed literature.
A non-peer-reviewed analysis also examines the level of consensus in the peer-reviewed literature, examining “global warming” or “global climate change” papers published from 1991 to 9 November 2012. This analysis was actually the first stage of The Consensus Project, conducted by Jim Powell in collaboration with John Cook and Dana Nuccitelli. Powell’s analysis found 24 explicit rejections of human-caused global warming among 13,950 articles. This is consistent with the results in our paper, which provides peer-reviewed confirmation of Powell’s analysis.
5.16.13
白鲸加速器电脑版下载-outline
平行板电容器的公式_百度知道:2021-6-1 · 理论 分析 表明，当平行 2113 板电 5261 容器的两极板间充 满同 一种 介质 时，电容 4102 C与极 板的 正对面积 1653 S、极板距离d的关系为 若平行板电容器的两极板间是真空时，则公式中没有相对介电常数ε（relative dielectric constant )，由公式 ...
May 16, 2013
About 97 per cent of 4000 international scientific papers analysed in a University of Queensland-led study were rated as endorsing human-caused global warming.
UQ Global Change Institute lead author John Cook said the finding proved there was strong scientific agreement about the cause of climate change, despite public perceptions to the contrary.
“This is significant because when people understand that scientists agree on global warming, they’re more likely to support policies that take action on it,” Mr Cook said.
A 2012 poll from the US Pew Research Centre found less than half of Americans thought scientists agreed humans were causing global warming.
“There is a gaping chasm between the actual consensus and the public perception,” Mr Cook said.
乌云资源站 - 资源丰富,内容优质,有图有质量,多平台下载!:2021-6-1 · 新闪存云v1.36 直装破解会员版下载 04-27 安卓biubiu加速器app下载 v3.0.1 飞一般的加速器 安卓专业版下载 04-26 终极变声器 v1.6.0 一秒教你大叔变老妹儿 去广告VIP破解版下载 04-26 Wifi探测器v4.58付费专业版下载 04-26 短信轰炸机v9.9.9.9会员版 1分钟400条
The study was published today in the journal Environmental Research Letters.
The study involved 24 scientists and science enthusiasts in rating the 4000 abstracts that stated a position on climate change.
The papers were also self-rated by the paper authors for validity.
迅雷网游加速器Air下载-迅雷网游加速器Air免费下载 ...-天极下载:2021-10-23 · 迅雷网游加速器Air是“迅雷网络”推出的一款致力于帮助玩家解决游戏延时高、卡顿、掉线等问题的专业级加速软件。迅雷网游加速器Air通过中国最大专业级虚拟专网架构，动态路由调整、实时全网监测、数据中转等技术支持。
The 24 volunteers were recruited through the myth-busting website Skepticalscience.com, founded by Mr Cook.
Visitors to the website also raised the funds required to allow the study to be accessible to the public.
The results of the paper are explained in detail on a new website, ot8a4x.wcbzw.com, launched today.
Media Contact: Communications Officer Kate Hannah , 0425752904, or UQ Global Change Institute Research Fellow John Cook, 0421 276 267 or 平行加速器安卓下载.
source
source info
source info
